Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.037089 0.040093 0.043248 0.046814 0.050737 0.054927 0.059751
2025-03-02 0.032270 0.036512 0.041216 0.046840 0.053407 0.060865 0.070019
2025-03-09 0.028645 0.033515 0.039137 0.046152 0.054724 0.064933 0.078120
2025-03-16 0.025819 0.031018 0.037215 0.045214 0.055360 0.067927 0.084869
2025-03-23 0.023800 0.029239 0.035903 0.044762 0.056366 0.071244 0.092084
2025-03-30 0.022138 0.027732 0.034750 0.044323 0.057228 0.074296 0.099045
2025-04-06 0.020535 0.026160 0.033364 0.043415 0.057311 0.076205 0.104469
2025-04-13 0.019677 0.025484 0.033073 0.043902 0.059257 0.080724 0.113876
2025-04-20 0.018739 0.024628 0.032466 0.043878 0.060436 0.084182 0.121945
2025-04-27 0.018102 0.024131 0.032301 0.044433 0.062439 0.088926 0.132307
2025-05-04 0.017267 0.023308 0.031621 0.044184 0.063209 0.091837 0.139994
2025-05-11 0.016532 0.022581 0.031027 0.044007 0.064046 0.094867 0.148075
2025-05-18 0.015785 0.021804 0.030330 0.043642 0.064584 0.097489 0.155764
2025-05-25 0.015187 0.021214 0.029871 0.043605 0.065618 0.100963 0.165204
2025-06-01 0.014472 0.020414 0.029054 0.042959 0.065622 0.102720 0.171749
2025-06-08 0.013753 0.019575 0.028137 0.042096 0.065202 0.103711 0.176961
2025-06-15 0.013200 0.018958 0.027525 0.041679 0.065482 0.105895 0.184540
2025-06-22 0.012687 0.018381 0.026945 0.041276 0.065747 0.108050 0.192228
2025-06-29 0.012108 0.017676 0.026131 0.040442 0.065212 0.108725 0.197065
2025-07-06 0.011857 0.017470 0.026093 0.040890 0.066928 0.113578 0.210659
2025-07-13 0.011517 0.017109 0.025789 0.040868 0.067801 0.116922 0.221481
2025-07-20 0.011310 0.016948 0.025799 0.041378 0.069655 0.122235 0.236952
2025-07-27 0.010961 0.016546 0.025396 0.041149 0.070133 0.124923 0.247024